A word on the polls - don't get discouraged

As conservatives, the polls right now can be disheartening. We are rather stunned that such a vapid, empty suit as BHO can be leading.

But, take heart. This is a quote from Slate magazine from before the Bush v Gore election;

Since Labor Day, the media have released about 20 polls on the presidential race. Three show a dead heat, one shows George W. Bush leading by a single percentage point, and the rest show Al Gore leading by one to 10 points. In the latest polls, Gore leads by an average of five points. It’s fashionable at this stage to caution that “anything can happen,” that Bush is “retooling,” and that the numbers can turn in Bush’s favor just as easily as they turned against him. But they can’t. The numbers are moving toward Gore because fundamental dynamics tilt the election in his favor. The only question has been how far those dynamics would carry him. Now that he has passed Bush, the race is over.

WRONG.

Here are a few things to remember:

1) The polls almost uniformly over-sample Democrats. They take their 'sample' and then 'adjust' it based on their believe about the 'actual' split between that parties. The more honest ones will show you this if you look into the poll's internals.

2) When you see the polled 'adults' - add 8-10% to the Rep score.
When you see 'registered voters - a 6-8
When you see 'likely voters' - add 2-4.

Why - because this will about wash out the rigged way a lot of polls are taken, the sample they use, and will more gel with reality

3) Especially in this election - people lie to the pollsters. This is a 'white guilt' thing. Remember the 'Bradley effect'. When Tom Bradley ran for CA Governor in 1982, he was leading in the polls. But, he lost. Bradley was a black man running against a white opponent. People told pollsters they would vote for Bradley - but ultimately, did not. It was understood at the time as a racial bias. This is not dead in 2008.

There was a poll that attempted to ask people if race affected their vote. What they SHOULD have asked was 'Will race affect the way your friends and family vote?'. People's own feelings would be more honestly revealed with that question.

4) The polls will tighten around 10 days before the election. Pollsters care about their reputations - and the last polls prior to election day are how they are judged.

Now is not the time for pessimism. Keep fighting the good fight. Start volunteering, keep talking to your friends and co-workers.

For McCain - my advice:

- No more Mr. Nice guy. Point out Ayers, point out Alinsky, point out BHO's links to ACORN. Remind people of the Annanberg Challange. Do it with passion. Do it in between explaining to people what YOU will do.

- Tell people the REAL cause of the financial mess - Federal Govt meddling in the Free Market. Defend the market - don't make it the villain.

- Release Sarah to be Sarah. Let her disagree with you on the stump. Let her passion flow. She is your best weapon.


Now, I don't know whether this will work. This is a tough year for us. People are sheep - they look at BHO as some kind of Savior. We have seemed to lost our passion and understanding of the power of Liberty. People seem to want a nanny-state. ACORN is busy with nationwide voter fraud and swelling the rolls with bogus, absentee voters.

But, don't give up - don't be depressed. Get pissed and get busy.

Repost- The so-called Employee Free Choice Act

This is a re-post of my 9/2/2008 post.

I am adding a link to Human Events: 10/6 H/E Article. I am glad to see that someone else finally noticed this 'card-check' issue.


I am not going to blog on the whole VP brouhaha - It bores me. Though, I am fascinated to see Obama saying 'I have more experience than Sarah Palin' - If he were only running for VPOTUS, this might make some sense....

Anyway - on the the mis-named 'Employee Free Choice Act', or EFCA. This should win the award for the 'Most Deceptively Named Legislation' in history.

The thrust of the act: It would remove the requirement for a secret ballot in elections that decide whether workers at a company want to form a union.

Instead, it would allow something called 'card-check'. This means that a Union representative (let's call him Vito - or Crusher, or Knuckles) would come to the employee of a company that the union was seeking to organize. Vito would hand the employee a 'card' and ask (nicely, I am sure) 'Duze you wants to sign this here card to get da union?'.

Now, you as the employee, can either sign - or, face the prospect of a late night visit from Vito and the other Crusher brothers to 'discuss' your objection to the Union. This will not be hard to imagine - since the Union will have the names of all 'prospective members' at their disposal.

This is compared to the current, secret, ballot where no one knows who voted for or against the union. What is interesting is that the Union's originally pushed for the secret ballot to battle company's intimidation of its workers. And it worked exactly that way - it protected workers from company retaliation. But now, it is protecting workers from Union intimidation - so enter the 'card check' of the EFCA.

It was very clever to name this bill the EFCA. The only free choice you have is to sign the card in the presence of Union thugs to avoid getting your ass kicked later - or phone calls at night - or vandalism of your car....you get the picture.

For two opposing websites:
For the EFCA (union backed): http://www.aflcio.org/joinaunion/voiceatwork/efca/
Against: Heritage Foundation: http://www.heritage.org/research/Labor/bg2027.cfm

Now, Barack Hussein Obama (aka BHO) is for the EFCA - no surprise - because it is a Socialist's dream come true.

As an interesting aside - did you know that Sarah Palin's husband is a member of the United Steel Workers?

Obama Birth Certificate: Where art thou?

As I postulated in my post of 22Sept (Previous Post something very fishy is up with BHO and his citizenship.

Quick background. BHO has provided a 'Birth Certificate' from Hawaii. Any professional forensic document expert who has voiced an opinion seems to say it is as FORGED as the Dan Rather letters. It is missing key markers that a valid one should have, and an official from the Hawaii Dept of Records is quoted as saying, basically, it is not one of theirs. According to Hawaii law, only BHO or his family can request a copy - so the public is locked out.

It seems most likely that little Barry was actually born in Kenya - not Hawaii. And, as the law at the time required, his mother was too young to confer citizenship US on him. Also, Barry was later adopted by an Indonesian man. He later enrolled in school in Jakarta, with the a last name other than Obama - and listing his citizenship as 'Indonesian'. This adoption, apparently, would have nullified his US citizenship.

So, how is the public to REALLY know? You can scour the blogs - and find everything from BHO's own websites, to newspapers, to self-described 'experts', to the '9/11 was an inside job' crowd. My wife asked how this can happen. Turns out, I don't think there is an official 'show us your Presidential qualifications' committee. It looks like filing a lawsuit, and demanding the proper documentation, is the only way.

To wit, a Mr. Berg (Democrat and Hillary supported) filed a lawsuit in August to force Obama to produce a real copy of his birth certificate.(He tried to get it done prior to the Dem convention). The DNC and Obama filed a motion to dismiss last week. That motion is still pending. Status here

It is curious that Obama would file a motion to dismiss, rather that produce a verifiable copy of his birth certificate. UNLESS, he is simply unable to do so. Also of some note, the lawyer BHO hired previously worked for CAIR - the Council for American Islamic Relations, a group that is purported to have wide and deep ties to terrorist organizations. BHO chose, for some reason, not to hire a Immigration type lawyer, but one with ties to CAIR.

Now, should the lawsuit NOT be dismissed (I know nothing about Judge Surrick, the presiding judge) things could get very interesting. Who knows the protocol here? Who can demand a candidate prove he is a citizen? I would assume only SCOTUS would be in such a position. Now, SCOTUS normally only takes cases on appeal - and then not as a finder of facts, but only to review procedure and such.

If this suit stays alive (and even it dismissed in the current venue) - I am just curious if the wheels of justice can move fast enough to get this heard by SCOTUS prior to the election.

One last question - if the suit survives and is obviously going somewhere, WHEN will you read about in the New York Times or hear about it from perky like Ms. Couric?

I made the paper

One of my many letters to the editor of our local, liberal, paper actually got printed. They recently reported about a shooting on our local University Campus by a 19 year old. This struk me are ironic. We have laws against just this type of thing. The campus is a 'gun free zone' - or criminal protection zone. And 19 year olds cannot legally purchase guns here. So, what's up? Here is the text of the letter:

Surprise! Criminals ignore gun laws I am writing in regard to the shooting at the University of Akron involving a 19-year-old suspect (''Man shot on campus,'' Sept. 27). This must be a mistake. Guns are banned on the University of Akron campus. Handgun purchases by 19-year-olds are illegal in Ohio. So, since we know sensible gun control should eliminate this type of incident, your report is clearly wrong. Or, more likely, laws like this are simply ignored by the criminal element, and hence have zero impact on crime while limiting the rights of law-abiding citizens to defend themselves. I wonder which is the case here?

Just my little bit to point out the idiocy of our gun laws. Not that it will matter --- but what the heck - why not.

An American Carol

Just got back from opening night of 'An American Carol'.

It is a very funny flick that is a parody of the fat-ass Michael Moore.

Great line from Kelsey Grammer-as George Patton, in reference to the Moore character (played in excellent fashion by Chris Farley's brother) 'What a douche bag'.

I highly recommend all conservatives see this flick for 2 reasons:

1) It is some good escapist entertainment
2) Show the ass-holes in Hollywood that we are out here and will respond to pro-american movies.

Also loved the kids dissing on Moore...one calls him 'uncle asshole'.....

One scene gave me the chills - seeing the soldiers in historical uniforms in the audience at a pro-troops concert in Madison Square Gardens. The looked to be standing guard - and it put a lump in my throat.

Go see it - this weekend.

Interesting video from 2005 about Fannie Mae - plus spot on commentary

This is a video of the interim CEO of Fannie Mae from 2005 giving a speech to the congressional Black Caucus. It also has some interesting commentary at the end.

It speaks to the true cause of the current banking troubles - not the bullshit being peddled by BHO and the Dems...

It is about 4 minutes long - please take the time to view the whole thing.....

Video

Send off for my son-in-laws Guard Unit

Last night, we had the honor of attending the 'Call to Duty' ceremony for my son-in-law's (Mike) National Guard unit prior to their deployment. Almost 400 citizen soldiers are deploying for 12 months.

A local congressman gave some brief remarks - and used part of Zell Miller's speech from the 2004 Republican Convention. Miller, if you will recall, is a Democrat. The key part of the speech:

Never in the history of the world has any soldier sacrificed more for the freedom and liberty of total strangers than the American soldier. And, our soldiers don't just give freedom abroad, they preserve it for us here at home. For it has been said so truthfully that it is the soldier, not the reporter, who has given us the freedom of the press. It is the soldier, not the poet, who has given us freedom of speech. It is the soldier, not the agitator,Today, think: BHO as a 'street organizer' who has given us the freedom to protest. It is the soldier who salutes the flag, serves beneath the flag, whose coffin is draped by the flag who gives that protester the freedom he abuses to burn that flag. No one should dare to even think about being the Commander in Chief of this country if he doesn't believe with all his heart that our soldiers are liberators abroad and defenders of freedom at home.

THis is powerful stuff - and, given the context of last night, was enough to make you stand up and cheer.

Miller added, in the original speech:

But don't waste your breath telling that to the leaders of my Party today. In their warped way of thinking America is the problem, not the solution. They don't believe there's any real danger in the world except that which America brings upon itself through our clumsy and misguided foreign policy. It is not their patriotism -- it is their judgment that has been so sorely lacking. They claimed Carter's pacifism would lead to peace -- they were wrong.

Just as true, or truer, than it was 4 years.

Mike is leaving a young wife, Katy, and toddler for the year. This will be tough time for them, especially Katy. Having to make due by yourself, alone with a toddler, it tough stuff. I know that she will be ok - but the world seems dark to her at the moment.

This is a time to be proud of his service, and pray for his safety. Godspeed for a safe return and a successful mission.